The 2024 Presidential Election Based on the Latest Polls



If the 2024 election were held today, on June 9th, 2024, Trump would likely win the national popular vote. He leads Biden by 0.8% according to Decision Desk HQ’s latest polling average. But how is he performing state by state? In order to be elected President this November, a candidate must reach at least 270 electoral college votes. In today’s video we are going to create a 2024 presidential election map based on the most recent poll in all 50 states.

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Election Predictions Official is the fastest-growing non-partisan political channel on YouTube, focused on analyzing and forecasting elections based on socio-demographics, polling data, and voting patterns. My official 2020 Presidential Election Forecast correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of 50 states. My 2022 Senate Forecast accurately projected the winners in 33 of 34 races.

This channel is run solely by Ryan Gest, a student at The George Washington University’s School of Media and Public Affairs, and an elections data science fellow at Decision Desk HQ.

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